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		<title>Oligopoly Watch</title>
		<link>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/</link>
		<description>The latest maneuvers of the new oligopolies and what they mean</description>
		<copyright>Copyright 2008 Steve Hannaford</copyright>
		<lastBuildDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2008 16:59:30 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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			<description>&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif color=darkblue size=4&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;Trash that waste deal!&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = &quot;urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office&quot; /&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;We &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/29.html&quot;&gt;recently&lt;/A&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;wrote about the planned deal between the #2 and #3 solid &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/02/05.html&quot;&gt;waste companies&lt;/A&gt; in the &lt;?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = &quot;urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags&quot; /&gt;&lt;st1:place w:st=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;st1:country-region w:st=&quot;on&quot;&gt;US&lt;/st1:country-region&gt;&lt;/st1:place&gt;.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Republic Services (#3) agreed to acquire Allied Waste Industries (#2), in an attempt to gain traction on the #1 company, Waste Management. The three companies together have over 50% of the market.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: 297.0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Now it turns out that Waste Management has stirred. It has made a hostile offer for Republic Services, offering $6.2 billion. The offer would give Republic shareholders 22% premium on stock value. It would also, most likely, would require divesting some `assets. Republic has rejected the initial offer.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;According to a New York Times article (&amp;#147;Unsolicited, Waste Giant Seeks to Buy a Competitor&amp;#148;, 7/25/8), this move along with &lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/15.html&quot;&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;InBev&amp;#146;s acquisition of Anheuser-Busch&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/A&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;SPAN style=&quot;mso-spacerun: yes&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/SPAN&gt;or &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/10.html&quot;&gt;Dow&amp;#146;s acquisition of Rohm &amp;amp; Haas&lt;/A&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;is a sign of a growing trend of strategic buyouts:&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;#147;The offer shows the rising confidence of corporate buyers, who have picked up their deal-making even as the troubled credit markets have all but shut out their rivals, the private equity firms. The dearth of financing for buyout firms so far has not extended to these companies:&amp;#148;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;There is some thought that Waste Management is just trying to play the spoiler. There is also the idea that Waste Management may be in a hurry to get the deal in while the Bush administration is still in power, expecting a more lenient antitrust stance than a possible Obama administration.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P class=MsoNormal style=&quot;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt&quot;&gt;&lt;o:p&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/o:p&gt;&lt;/P&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/19.html#a1262</guid>
			<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2008 16:59:30 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Suez and Gaz de France finally come together&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Just to show how slowly these things can go, the merger of French utility companies Suez and Gaz de France (GDF) was announced as likelihood two and a half years ago, in February 2006, &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/02/26.html&quot;&gt;as we reported&lt;/A&gt;.&amp;nbsp; The deal finally got shareholder approval last week. The new company will be the world&apos;s #2 utility, with holding in gas and electric. #1 is also a French company, EDF, and Germany&apos;s &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/09/26.html&quot;&gt;E.On&lt;/A&gt; slips to #3.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;As we reported then &quot;&lt;EM&gt;A $24 billion company, GDF is mostly government-owned. It has operations in France and in a number of other countries in Europe, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. According to an AP report ( &quot;Suez, Gaz de France to Merge&quot;, 2/25/2006), French Prime Minister &quot;Villepin said Suez and GDF, as Gas de France is known, had been discussing for months a deal to bring together their &apos;close and complementary&apos; activities in energy production, transport and distribution&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The deal was arranged as xenophobic panic reaction to a threatened bid by Italy&apos;s leading utility company &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/02/26.html&quot;&gt;Enel &lt;/A&gt;to take over Suez. Suez is a 150-year old company, with its origins n building the Suez Canal. It spun off its &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/11/04.html&quot;&gt;water and waste division&lt;/A&gt; in 2007 as Suez Environnement&amp;nbsp; (though it still holds a large minority position). , Along with natural gas and liquefied natural gas, it has over 200 million customers worldwide.It is a major owner and operator of nuclear plants, and is starting to be a growing player in renewables.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The combined company, to be called GDF Suez, will be valued at over $85 billion. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;It all comes down to setting costs and prices. A Guardian article (&quot;Suez, GDF shareholders back birth of energy giant&quot;, 7/16/07) quotes a French spokesman as saying &lt;EM&gt;&quot;In a market pegged to oil prices, it is important to secure your supplies and the bigger you are, the more secure your supplies will be... the better the prices you can negotiate.&quot;&lt;/EM&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;We see the trend to concentration resuming, with ever larger utilities spreading risk between a number of sources of energy and having the capital available for developing alternatives. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/17.html#a1261</guid>
			<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jul 2008 01:57:28 GMT</pubDate>
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			<description>&lt;FONT size=2&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Biggest cash acquisition ever&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/03/03.html&quot;&gt;InBev&lt;/A&gt; has pretty much nailed &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/05/29.html&quot;&gt;down its buyout&lt;/A&gt; of &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/10/27.html&quot;&gt;Anheuser-Busch&lt;/A&gt;, a move that will make it by far the biggest brewer in the world, with 17% worldwide market share and 49% US market share. The deal ends up at $52 billion. What&apos;s really amazing is that this is an all cash deal, the largest one ever.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;While Busch family themselves and Missouri politicians had tried to play on xenophobia and Bud&apos;s status as an American icon, they shareholders quickly caved when InBev came up with $5 more per share, along with some guarantees about reserving jobs and brands.. A hostile bid suddenly became friendly.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The previous record holder for a cash deal was Cingular Wireless&apos;s $40.8 billion &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/17.html&quot;&gt;purchase of AT&amp;amp;T&lt;/A&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/17.html&quot;&gt; Wireless&lt;/A&gt; in 2004. Of course, all that is now part of the new AT&amp;amp;T&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; (formerly SBC). The third largest all-cash deal was mining giant &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/07/12.html&quot;&gt;Rio Tinto&apos;s purchase of Alcan&lt;/A&gt; in 2007, for $37 billion.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Some other notes:&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;UL&gt;
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;One biog factor in the deal has to be the continuing decline of the dollar against the euro, almost 30% in the past few years.&lt;/FONT&gt; 
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Strangely enough, &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/05/20.html&quot;&gt;Rolling Rock&lt;/A&gt;, which had been owned by InBev, was sold in 2006 to A-B. Now the brand will become part of InBev again. You have to wonder whether it will be sold off once more. (By the way, A-B closed the famous Latrobe, Pa. brewery and moved the brewing operations into its own (Bud-oriented) breweries. But Rolling Rock is still marketed as the &quot;little guy&quot; competitor to Bud and Miller.&lt;/FONT&gt; 
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Anheuser-Busch made InBev&apos;s inevitable cost-cutting job all the easier by announcing its own preemptive layoffs.&lt;/FONT&gt; 
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;InBev, which has operations in Cuba, still has to deal with federal regulators on that score. Doubtless some kind of legal restructuring can be arrived at.&lt;/FONT&gt; 
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;InBev needs to sell off $7 billion in assets in order to cover a bridge loan that is based on a quick turnaround. It is almost certain to sell off Anheuser-Busch&apos;s chain of theme parks. The ten US-based parks, including Sea World and Busch Gardens, are thought to be worth around $3 billion. Also possibly on the block are A-B&apos;s packaging manufacturing division (around $1.52 billion), which has almost a 25% market share in cans in the US, along with a presence in bottle caps and bottles. Also available is its real estate assets (around $200 million). It looks as if InBev may also have to sell a few of its non-core European beer brands.&lt;/FONT&gt; 
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Also on the table are A-B&apos;s shares in Mexico&apos;s Grupo Modelo, though those may be complicated by restrictions on A-B&apos;s ability to sell off those shares without Grupo Modelo&apos;s consent. More negotiations are needed.&lt;/FONT&gt; 
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;InBev already has a global flagship brand, Stella Artois. No doubt Budweiser, which is relatively limited worldwide distribution, will join that brand on shelves across the world. &lt;/FONT&gt;
&lt;LI&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;A-B also owns 27% of China&apos;s leading brewer, Tsingtao. If InBev holds on to it, it gives the firm a big presence in China, a growing beer market.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/LI&gt;&lt;/UL&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/15.html#a1260</guid>
			<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jul 2008 02:22:23 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;Another day, another chemical acquisition&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Dow Chemical&apos;s announced &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/10.html&quot;&gt;acquisition of Rohm &amp;amp;&lt;/A&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/10.html&quot;&gt; Haas&lt;/A&gt; was followed quickly by an announced deal between two smaller, yet significant, US chemical companies. Ashland, the nation&apos;s largest chemical distributor and a major vendor of sealants, agreed to buy Hercules&amp;gt; the deal, including debt, is for $3.3 billion in cash and stock.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Hercules has sales in specialty chemicals used ion the paper business, along with water-based adhesives and products for the food and medical industries. It was established in 1912. It has some expertise in green technology and water treatment.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Ashland, founded in 1924, started life as an oil refining company. In 2006 (old timers might remember Ashland gas stations), it sold off its petroleum assets to its joint partner Marathon Oil. The company now provides chemicals and solvents to various businesses, including Automotive, Cleaning products, Coatings, Elastomers, Inks, Paints, Personal Care, and Plastics and Plastic Molding. It also sells various kinds of resins and adhesives. It owns the Valvoline brand name of consumer auto tune-up products.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;According to a Bloomberg News story (&quot;Ashland Buys Chemical Maker Hercules for $2.6 Billion&quot;, 8/11/08):&amp;nbsp; &quot;&lt;EM&gt;Global chemical makers are caught between record oil prices and weakening economies as retail sales, car-manufacturing and construction industries falter&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The same article reports that there have been over $41 billion in mergers and acquisition in the chemical industry so far in 2008, with the year barely half over.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Pressure is strong on many chemical companies. DuPont shares have been weak performers. There is call to break up the company; another case of the parts (especially the Electronics, Performance Materials, and Safety and &lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Protection businesses,). It&apos;s also rumored that German chemcial giant &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/01/08.html&quot;&gt;BASF &lt;/A&gt;may be interested in swallowing the company (from Chemical Reactions: What Now for DuPont?&apos;, &lt;EM&gt;New York Times&lt;/EM&gt;, Dealbook, 8/11/08).&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/13.html#a1259</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jul 2008 23:11:36 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif color=darkblue size=4&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;Dow to buy Rohm &amp;amp;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt; Haas&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;US-based &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/05/20.html&quot;&gt;Dow Chemical&lt;/A&gt;, the #2 US chemical company, announced it would buy US-based Rohm &lt;I&gt;&amp;amp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/I&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; Hass in a deal worth $19.7 billion, including assumed debt. It was Dow&apos;s biggest acquisition. Rohm &lt;I&gt;&amp;amp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/I&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; Haas specializes in chemical s used in electronics (such as those used in making computer chips), in adhesives, and in coatings (it is #1 in the chemicals in making acrylic paint).&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The move comes as Dow has &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/12/10.html&quot;&gt;seen a drop&lt;/A&gt; in value thanks to the cost of petroleum used in many of its platstic and styrofoam products. In fact, Dow is selling a 50% interest in its commodity plastics unit to a Kuwait Petrochemical Industries, while Dow concentrates on higher-priced specialty plastics. Like many other companies, Dow is seeking rescue in high-priced products where it has more ability to set prices.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Dow beat out German-based &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/01/08.html&quot;&gt;BASF,&lt;/A&gt; the world&apos;s #1 chemical company and a company with many&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/07/17.html&quot;&gt; overlapping products&lt;/A&gt; with Rohm &lt;I&gt;&amp;amp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/I&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; Haas. Some of the Dow cash is coming from loans from Berkshire Hathaway and the Kuwait Investment Authority. It is one of the biggest deals of the year in the US.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/10.html#a1258</guid>
			<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 03:29:57 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;GE: Not easy being a conglomerate&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;General Electric has long been the counter-example. Whereas most other large companies have tried to specialize in adjacent areas and have gotten away from conglomerate status, GE has thrived on managing a wide &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/10/12.html&quot;&gt;variety of businesses,&lt;/A&gt; from light bulbs to jet engines to TV and movies (&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/09/02.html&quot;&gt;NBC Universal&lt;/A&gt;). The secret, or sp we were told, was a special GE management technique. It is a &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/09/06.html&quot;&gt;conglomerate&lt;/A&gt;.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;In recent years, GE itself has tried to simplify operations, by shedding operations in areas like p&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/05/20.html&quot;&gt;lastics&lt;/A&gt;, and insurance, and (in process) &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/05/15.html&quot;&gt;appliances&lt;/A&gt;. But never before has it become so apparent that GE split up would be far more valuable and manageable than GE the conglomerate. &lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;A WSJ column (&quot;Immelt Defends GE&apos;s Wide Reach&quot;, 7/7/08), reports that the company and CEO Jeffrey Immelt are &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/05/28.html&quot;&gt;under a lot of pressure&lt;/A&gt;. GE had an unexpected 5.9% drop in first-quarter earnings along we pre-announced flat second-quarter results, with low expectations for the rest of the year.&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;As the article puts it &quot;&lt;EM&gt;In the past, GE&apos;s diverse businesses balanced one another to produce relatively smooth results. But that formula failed in the first quarter, when the credit crisis kept GE from completing real-estate sales and there were slowdowns in health care and appliances&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;Aside from the appliance spin-off, it is thought that GE is n the way to selling its lighting business and its $30 billion credit-card business. But Immelt may have to do more, according to the article, &quot;&lt;EM&gt;He also will have to convince investors that GE&apos;s vast portfolio, which includes everything from NBC Universal to biosciences, can be managed under one corporate roof and that the company doesn&apos;t need to be broken up or even dramatically streamlined&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;The article notes that Healthcare division, which makes medical imaging equipment may need to be spun-off or sold-off, Aviation might be hit as airlines cut flights. And even the once thriving financial services division, so carefully assembled over the past decade,&amp;nbsp;is threatened buy the credit crunch. &lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;The column quotes one analysts as saying that &quot;&lt;EM&gt;the gloss has come off the GE manager mystique&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot; Indeed, the difficulty of managing such a wide variety of companies with different business cycles at a time when all companies are being stressed may change GE radically in the nest few years.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/P&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/09.html#a1257</guid>
			<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jul 2008 02:45:35 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Weather Channel bought&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/08/11.html&quot;&gt;Cable TV&lt;/A&gt;, which once promised to be this multiplicity of independent voices, has dwindled down to a half dozen owners, mostly the usual media suspects: Disney/ABC, GE.NBC, Viacom, Time-Warner, Comcast, News Corp. So it&apos;s significant when one of the few generally distributed basic cable channels gets bought out.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;This time it is the Weather Channel, bought by &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/09/02.html&quot;&gt;NBC Universal,&lt;/A&gt; along with some private equity partners. The deal is for $3.5 billion - apparently this network has loyal fans and brings in a substantial ad revenue. The deal includes the Web site weather.com.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Actually, the price is down since the Weather&apos;s Channels owner, Landmark Communications, wanted to sell it for $5 billion earlier this year. NBC beat out Time warner.925 deal.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Last year NBC acquired women&apos;s channel Oxygen in a $925 million deal. It recently announced it would sell its share in the Sundance (independent movie) channel.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;A side note on further consolidation comes from a &lt;EM&gt;Wall Street Journal&lt;/EM&gt; article (&quot; NBC-Led Group Will Buy The Weather Channel,&quot; 7/7/08):&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr style=&quot;MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px&quot;&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;EM&gt;Attention in the media industry is expected to turn to a long-awaited sale of the Scripps cable-television business, which includes HGTV and the Food Network. Several media companies have signaled that they would be interested if it went up for sale, a factor that may have made some bidders less willing to aggressively bid for the Weather Channel.&lt;/EM&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/BLOCKQUOTE&gt;
&lt;P&gt;After it looked like media consolidation was on hold, it seems to be back on track, at least in a modest way.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
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			<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 02:56:41 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Odds and ends&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Some notes and follow-ups on recent deals or non-deals.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;1. Blockbuster finally gave up on its crazy idea to buy Circuit City - which &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/04/18.html&quot;&gt;we laughed at&lt;/A&gt; here.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;2. Discover Financial Services, owner of the Discover card, completed its &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/04/20.html &quot;&gt;purchase of Diners Card International&lt;/A&gt; from Citigroup. The deal was for $195. It&apos;s a funny little move. Neither Discover nor Diners look likely to get nay traction, especially with the credit card business catching the flue from the subprime mortgage crisis. Discover stock is selling at 50% of its year high.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;3. Microsoft is still &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/02/03html&quot;&gt;trying to buy Yahoo&lt;/A&gt;, but in the meantime, it has bought Powerset, a search engine company. The deal was for $100 million. Powerset specializes in semantic searches, which involve analyzing so-called &quot;natural language&quot; search requests, such as &quot;What is the best gas mileage for an SUV?&quot;, then returning URLs that might address the problem. &lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;As Tom Foremski, a Ziff-Davis online columnist, notes (&quot;MSFT&apos;s acquisition of Powerset is not about search&quot;, 7/4/08 notes, the reason for the deal is not for making the user search experience better so much as it is for improved advertising, so-called &quot;context-sensitive&quot; advertising. Right now, as he points out, Google is far ahead of both Yahoo and Microsoft, in delivering context-sensitive results. In fact, Yahoo now contracts out to Google for that very reason, a good motivation for Microsoft to develop a rival system.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;4. IBM just acquired a threatening new innovator in the mainframe computing world. It bought Platform Solutions Inc., a small mainframe software developer that had sued IBM over anti-competitive actions. The company had made it possible to run IBM&apos;s z/OS operating system on Intel chips on far less expensive hardware. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;After some suits and countersuits, IBM stepped in for an undisclosed sum (rumored to be in the hundreds of millions), reestablishing it virtual monopoly on the mainframe business. What this means is that IBM, according to Jeff Gould writing for Interops Systems (&quot;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www1.interopsystems.com/news/ibm-vs-psi-goliath-slays-david.html &quot;&gt;IBM vs PSI; Goliath slays David&lt;/A&gt;&quot; &quot;cementing a monopoly that is now more complete than at any time since Amdahl &lt;EM&gt;launched the first plug-compatible mainframe in 1975&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;This sounds like a case for antitrust measures, But as Gould notes, the buyout may be too small to get the regulators worked up:&quot;&lt;EM&gt;IBM is saying that since they already own 99.9% of the market, squashing the one remaining competitor who has 0.1% is no big deal&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;(thanks to reader Chris Brainard for the tip)&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/07/06.html#a1255</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 06 Jul 2008 20:13:24 GMT</pubDate>
			<comments>http://radiocomments2.userland.com/comments?u=122697&amp;amp;p=1255&amp;amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.oligopolywatch.com%2F2008%2F07%2F06.html%23a1255</comments>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;South Korean company now canned tuna king&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;South Korean food company Dongwon announced it would acquire the StarKist canned tuna company from &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/03/05.html&quot;&gt;Del Monte Foods&lt;/A&gt;, &lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;The deal is for $363 million. Dongwon is already dominant in canned tuna in Korean, with a 75% market share. It also owns the world&apos;s largest tuna fishing fleet. The move will make the company #1 in tuna worldwide, with further expansion plans in Europe and South America.&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;Del Monte &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/11.html&quot;&gt;acquired StarKist in 2002&lt;/A&gt;, from Heinz Foods. The brand, with its famous &quot;Sorry, Charlie&quot; ads, is the #1 canned tuna brand in the US with 37% market share. As tuna costs have risen (due to scarcity), StarKist&apos;s margins have been reduced as well. Del Monte&apos;s other brands include College Inn broths, Meow Mix cat food, and Milk-Bone pet snacks.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Fish, like other food commodities, are becoming more valuable, and we&apos;ve seen US #2 tuna canner &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/11.html&quot;&gt;Bumble Bee sold off&lt;/A&gt; in recent years as well. It&apos;s another step in the concentration of dwindling resources into fewer hands.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/30.html#a1254</guid>
			<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2008 01:38:16 GMT</pubDate>
			<comments>http://radiocomments2.userland.com/comments?u=122697&amp;amp;p=1254&amp;amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.oligopolywatch.com%2F2008%2F06%2F30.html%23a1254</comments>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Waste deal aims at market control&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;We&apos;ve written earlier about the oligopoly in the &lt;A href=&quot; http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/02/05.html&quot;&gt;highly corrupt solid waste industry&lt;/A&gt;. That oligopoly just got tighter.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Republic services, the #2 waste disposal company in the US announced the acquisition of Allied Waste Industries, the #3 player in that area in the US. The value of the deal is for $6.1 billion, in a stock swap.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The two companies combined own over 35,000 companies (employees), including waste haulers, landfills, and recycling companies/ &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The combined company will compete better with the #1 player in the field, Waste Management. That company has a 35% share of the US market, while the newly united company will have 17%.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;One factor in the deal is said to be the high cost of fuel, which is eating into profits from haulage. The ability to direct trucks to closer landfills will save money.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;As usual, the big factor will be priding power. With one less major competitor, the new big two will have more control over prices.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/29.html#a1253</guid>
			<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jun 2008 02:14:58 GMT</pubDate>
			<comments>http://radiocomments2.userland.com/comments?u=122697&amp;amp;p=1253&amp;amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.oligopolywatch.com%2F2008%2F06%2F29.html%23a1253</comments>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Severstal buys Esmark&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Severstal, Russia&apos;s #1 steelmaker, has struck again in the US. It announced that its has won a bidding war to buy Esmark, a US steel products company in a $775 million deal. It beat out India-based Essar Steel. Esmark was willing to be bought out, thanks to difficulties sin getting financing.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Severstal has been expanding: in the US, earlier this year, it &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/03/29.html&quot;&gt;bought ArcelorMittal&apos;s Sparrows Point steel plant&lt;/A&gt; near Baltimore for $950 million. ArcelorMittal was forced to divest the plant as part of antitrust agreement, following its &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/05/26.html&quot;&gt;2006 merger&lt;/A&gt;. (Curiously, Esmark had bid for the plant unsuccessfully). &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;And in another iron-y, &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/05/26.html&quot;&gt;Arcelor had atempted to buy Severstal in&lt;/A&gt; 2006, to avoid Mittal&apos;s clutches.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Severstal in 2003 also acquired &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/12/24.html&quot;&gt;US-based Rouge Industries&lt;/A&gt; of Michigan.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Esmark also has been in an acquisition mode. Since 2003 it has &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/08/05.html&quot;&gt;bought over 10 US steelmakers&lt;/A&gt;, including North American Steel, Miami Valley Steel Services, and others.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Essar, though disappointed in this deal, has actively pursued North American companies. In 2007 it bought&amp;nbsp; &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/05/04.html&quot;&gt;Minnesota Steel Industries&lt;/A&gt; ($1.7 billion) and Canada&apos;s &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/04/16.html&quot;&gt;Algoma Steel&lt;/A&gt; ($1.6 billion).&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;You don&apos;t have to be a Lou Dobbs to have concern over non-US companies having such an important share of a strategic industry in the US, all based on cheap dollars.&amp;nbsp;It also doesn&apos;t help that with steel prices sky-high, a number of those old rust-belt steel mills might have finally become profitable once morea.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/26.html#a1252</guid>
			<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jun 2008 03:11:21 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Iron hand&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Iron ore giants &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/07/12.html&quot;&gt;Rio Tinto &lt;/A&gt;and &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/05/03.html&quot;&gt;BHP Billiton&lt;/A&gt; announced that they had come to agreements with key Chinese steelmakers, agreements that hike the base price of iron ore by 86% over a year ago. The combination of ever increasing demand, especially from China and India, along with the power that the three-company &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/05/21.html&quot;&gt;iron oligopoly&lt;/A&gt; has over the much more competitive steel industry did the trick. Iron ore is a sellers market, and there are only a few sellers.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The price was the result of negotiations with &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/10/31.html&quot;&gt;Baosteel,&lt;/A&gt; China&apos;s #1 steelmaker, but will apparently apply to all other steel companies that buy from the two Australian iron giants. It will also apply retrospectively to all iron bought from those companies since April 1. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Brazil&apos;s &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/08/23.html&quot;&gt;Vale,&lt;/A&gt; the third member of the oligopoly made a deal earlier this year with the #1 steelmaker in the world, &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/10/26.html&quot;&gt;Arcelor-Mittal&lt;/A&gt;, for a mere 70% price rise. This is reportedly the first time that the three companies have not set prices in lock step. Of course, the cost of bringing iron from Brazil to China is far higher than bringing from Australia.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The combined negotiation makes for a new level of collusion between the iron miners. It also happens while &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/02/13.html&quot;&gt;BHP Billiton is still pursuing Rio Tinto &lt;/A&gt;in an attempt to shrink the field to a duopoly. Both companies will be worth a hell of a lot more now that this deal is signed. The thought is that the influx of cash will make the attempt to buy out Rio Tinto even harder.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Iron, oil, and corn, three of the staples of the world economy, are increasing in cost at unbelievable rates. While much is made of the big oil companies and the OPEC cartel, ever tighter and scarier cartels operate in iron and in &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/23.html&quot;&gt;corn processing&lt;/A&gt;.&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/24.html#a1251</guid>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 03:17:26 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;King corn (syrup)&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;With corn prices reaching stratospheric levels, it&apos;s only natural that these should be consolidation among the world leaders in buying and processing corn. At $7 a bushel, corn costs twice as much as it did a year ago, and with much of Iowa under water, the prices might climb even more. So when&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/10/05.html&quot;&gt; food processor Bunge&lt;/A&gt; announced the purchase of US-based Corn Products International for $4.2 billion (in stock) the concentration the food processing &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/08/04.html&quot;&gt;oligonomy &lt;/A&gt;only got tighter.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;While less well known than rivals &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/01.html&quot;&gt;ADM &lt;/A&gt;and &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/01/18.html&quot;&gt;Cargill&lt;/A&gt;, Bermuda/US-based Bunge is a close rival. It already is the dominant player in oilseeds world wide, and is one of the leaders in &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/04/12.html&quot;&gt;soy processing&lt;/A&gt;, and a player in corn and wheat..&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Corn Products is a specialist in distilling &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/07/29.html&quot;&gt;high fructose corn syrup&lt;/A&gt;, the sweetener used in soft drinks and packaged foods. It is the #4 company in that field, after ADM, Cargill, and Tate &amp;amp;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; Lyle. It has global manufacturing and sales. Aside from HFCS, the company sells corn starch, corn oil, and corn gluten for various food and non-food manufacturing uses. Clients include Coca-Cola and Kellogg. The company was part of Best foods until 1999. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Bunge was already a player in corn, but the Corn Products addition will make it a closer rival to the other food processing giants. The company has 450 plants worldwide.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;It is these companies, now loaded with cash, more than the farmers, who are in a position to benefit the most from rising food prices and increased demand for processed foods in China, India, and other developing countries. Bunge&apos;s shares have gone up by nearly 50% over the past year. The more powerful and rich these companies are, the better they are in a position to set prices and costs, and above all to influence global trade policies in their favor.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/23.html#a1250</guid>
			<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 01:56:13 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Chinese-Indian pharma deal&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;It is significant, I think, when a company from one major Asian company buys another, with no Western company involves as buyer of seller. That&apos; shat happened last week when the #3 Japanese drug company, Daichi Sankyo, announced a deal to buy a controlling share in Indian drug company Ranbaxy Laboratories, the #1 Indian drug firm. The deal was for around $4.6 billion. &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/02/26.html&quot;&gt;Daichi Sankyo is the result itself of a 2005 merger Japanese drug companies&lt;/A&gt;.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Ranbaxy&apos;s specialty is &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/11/16.html&quot;&gt;generic drugs&lt;/A&gt;, while Daichi Sankyo specialized in patent drugs. The move is an important one, in that generic drugs are growing much faster than patent ones. Ranbaxy is growing fast, and hopes plans to be among the top five generics companies in a few years.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;As a Bloomberg story (&quot;Daiichi Sankyo to Buy Ranbaxy for as Much as $4.6 Bln&quot;, 8/11/08) notes, &quot;&lt;EM&gt;Daiichi Sankyo is mimicking strategies pursued by the Swiss pharmaceuticals company [&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/05/15.html&quot;&gt;Novartis]&lt;/A&gt; and &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/07.html&quot;&gt;Johnson &amp;amp;&lt;/A&gt;&lt;/EM&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;EM&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/07.html&quot;&gt; Johnson&lt;/A&gt; to weather turbulence in the branded-drug industry by diversifying into other markets. The acquisition also gives the Japanese company more reach in emerging regions including India, China and Eastern Europe&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The question is why the other &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/11/08.html&quot;&gt;giants of the pharmaceutical industry&lt;/A&gt; have ignored generics or even sold off their generic business. It is rumored, however, that US-based &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/04/18.html&quot;&gt;Pfizer &lt;/A&gt;might be considering a higher bid for Ranbaxy.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The interesting thing, according to a &lt;EM&gt;Wall Street Journal&lt;/EM&gt; article, is the rise of India as a global power with firms worth billions. &quot;&lt;EM&gt;The pharmaceutical sector is the latest example of India&apos;s and China&apos;s climb up the value chain. While China is working its way up the ladder from manufacturing and clinical trials, India is starting with high-level R&lt;/EM&gt;&amp;amp;D.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;EM&gt; As this happens, Indian and Chinese companies are becoming increasingly important players in the global mergers and acquisitions game, both as targets and as acquirers&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;All this, the article (&quot;Welcome, Global Pharma&quot;, 8/17/08) states, is a product of that growing fact that &quot;&lt;EM&gt;Indian and Chinese scientists are rapidly developing the ability to create their own intellectual property&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/22.html#a1249</guid>
			<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 01:15:41 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;Copyright creeps&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/04/17.html&quot;&gt;We have stated before&lt;/A&gt; that one of the trends of the last twenty years has been a frantic cycle of copyright extension. The major media companies have formed oligopolies and try to extend copyright protecting their materials. &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/09/14.html&quot;&gt;Technology is moving faster,&lt;/A&gt; so that the regulations are sidestepped and digital sharing grows. The content oligopolies then propose (and often get) ever more stringent laws, which create more resentment and even more copyright avoidance. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Once oligopolies in movie, TV, books, and music had managed to eliminate most of the competition, they thought that their income as toll keepers would be uninterrupted. Gigantic hoards of copyright materials, including film libraries and music libraries, have been marshaled by multinational giants. But in spite of their best efforts in shaping national and international law, that stream has, in some cases, slowed down to a trickle.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;An &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.cato-unbound.org/2008/06/09/rasmus-fleischer/the-future-of-copyright/&quot;&gt;excellent article&lt;/A&gt; by Rasmus Fleischer (&quot;The Future of Copyright&quot;, 6/0/08) captures the paradox: &lt;/P&gt;
&lt;BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr style=&quot;MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px&quot;&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;EM&gt;Contrast today&apos;s world with the golden age of copyright, roughly speaking between 1800 and 1950. Back then, enforcement was easy. The act of reading a book was far removed from the act of printing one. Record presses and gramophones were safely distinct machines.&quot; Burt standing with tape recorders and moving on the Internet, the difference between producing a film or book and consuming it has gotten blurred.&lt;/EM&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/BLOCKQUOTE&gt;
&lt;P&gt;And the reaction has been a frantic pace of expanding copyrights, as Flesicher points out. &quot;&lt;EM&gt;Every broken regulation brings a cry for at least one new regulation even more sweepingly worded than the last. Copyright law in the 21st century tends to be less concerned about concrete cases of infringement, and more about criminalizing entire technologies because of their potential uses&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;More an more the content oligopolies want to have Internet service providers, search engines, and software companies, to take on the responsibility for the actions of their users, to spy on their customers, and be fines if they refuse. The prospect is chilling: a true Big Brother watching over each person&apos;s every keystroke, and taxing us for even mentioning or criticizing a company&apos;s copyrighted products.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The copyright oligopoly&apos;s real desire is to create an international police state dedicated to the protection of their rights. That&apos;s the purpose of ACTA (Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement), currently being negotiated very quietly by the leading industrial nations. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;As Fleishcer writes,&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr style=&quot;MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px&quot;&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;EM&gt;The proposed ACTA treaty would create international legislation turning border guards into copyright police, charged with checking laptops, iPods, and other devices for possibly infringing content, and given the authority to confiscate and destroy equipment without even requiring a complaint from a rights-holder.&lt;/EM&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/BLOCKQUOTE&gt;
&lt;P&gt;It&apos;s a horrific scenario. I&apos;m not always a fan of the libertarian Cato Institute, but on this issue they are dead on.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/19.html#a1248</guid>
			<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 02:01:00 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif color=darkblue size=4&gt;Organic oligopoly&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt; &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;We&apos;ve &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/06/25.html&quot;&gt;reported on it before&lt;/A&gt;, but &lt;A href=&quot;https://www.msu.edu/~howardp/organicindustry.html&quot;&gt;here&apos;s a neat diagram&lt;/A&gt; showing the organic brands owned by the big multinational and national food and beverage giants.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Thanks to reader Dave Pollard, edirtor of the always interesting &lt;A href=&quot;http://blogs.salon.com/0002007/&quot;&gt;How to Save The World&lt;/A&gt; blog.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;I&apos;ll be off on vacation for a few days.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/13.html#a1247</guid>
			<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 17:30:28 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Big Pharma and &quot;free&quot; trade&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;I recently came across the excellent four-year-old &lt;A href=&quot;http://dir.salon.com/story/news/feature/2005/08/12/cafta_drugs/&quot;&gt;Salon.com article&lt;/A&gt; by Adam Graham-Silverman (&quot;Big Pharma&apos;s Free Ride&quot;, 8/12/05) that details the way in which &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/stories/2004/02/17/pharmaceuticals.html&quot;&gt;large drug companies&lt;/A&gt; managed to use the &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/08/04.html&quot;&gt;CAFTA&lt;/A&gt; trade agreement between the US and certain Central American companies) to wipe out competition in struggling economies. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/03/24.html&quot;&gt;Free Trade agreement&lt;/A&gt; may have opened some US markets to Central American goods, but for drug companies it was a field day. As the article notes, CAFTA &quot;&lt;EM&gt;requires its members to adopt strict rules on intellectual property rights, including those protecting prescription drugs. These drugs cost up to 22 times what Doctors Without Borders, which runs several AIDS clinics in Guatemala, pays for generic equivalents&lt;/EM&gt;.&quot; &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The agreement also greatly extends patents for prescription medicines far beyond what is allowed in the US. &quot;&lt;EM&gt;Drug companies get 20-year patent protection for their drugs from the moment they begin research and development, but they can apply to extend that time period.&lt;/EM&gt;&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;And it&apos;s not just countries like Guatemala and Nicaragua who are suffering. The phenomenon has a chance of boomeranging back to the US, where the drug companies have, by hook and by crook, desperately trying to tie up their drug in nearly perpetual patents: &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;As the article notes: &quot;&lt;EM&gt;The United States has limits on patent extensions and on how long companies can keep secret their test data. But if the United States&apos; neighbors adopt different requirements, like those in CAFTA, pressure will build at home to &quot;harmonize,&quot; or get on board with what everyone else is doing. &apos;People are starting to realize, yes, indeed, this is a part of grand strategy&lt;/EM&gt;,&apos;&lt;EM&gt; said Kathleen Jaeger, president of the Generic Pharmaceutical Association.&lt;/EM&gt;&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;One of the most typical activities of oligopolies is making sure that government actions accomplish for them what they can&apos;t gain by competing in the &quot;open market&quot; that they and their protectors give such lip service to. It is so much cheaper to alter a law or a treaty through lobbying and political action than by actually coming up with a new drug, a new idea, or a new product line. Free Trade is freer for some than others.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/12.html#a1246</guid>
			<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 02:10:08 GMT</pubDate>
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			<description>&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif color=darkblue size=4&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;Yet another beer deal&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2003/07/07.html&quot;&gt;SABMiller&lt;/A&gt;, the world&amp;#146;s largest brewing company (unless and until I&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/05/29.html&quot;&gt;nBev manages to buy Anheuser-Busch&lt;/A&gt;), announced it would buy Russian brewer Vladpivo, located in Russia&amp;#146;s growing Far East in Vladivostok. It&amp;#146;s not much of a deal money-wise (the price is undisclosed, the assets of the company seem to be under $70 million). The deal will be SABMiller&amp;#146;s third location in Russia, where SABMiller is the leader (with Russian brands like Zolotaya Bochka, Tri Bogatiria, and Moi Kaluga). After &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/01/28.html&quot;&gt;Carlsberg bought up control of the Russian Baltic brand&lt;/A&gt;, SABMiller management may have felt it had to get even bigger in Russia.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;
&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;Meanwhile, the company is rolling out its &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2007/11/20.html&quot;&gt;Grolsch beer brand,&lt;/A&gt; purchased last year, in South Africa. It has also been spreading key brands like Grolsch, Pilsner Urquell, Miller Genuine Draft, and even Italy&amp;#146;s Peroni Nostro Azzuro across the globe as &quot;premium&quot; brands. In a world where it would seem that beer was at a saturation point, SABMiller saw an 11% growth in profits over the last year.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/11.html#a1245</guid>
			<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 03:03:52 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;B/E Aerospace buys Honeywell unit&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;B/E Aerospace, a US-based company that is #1 in aircraft cabin interiors, announced it would buy Honeywell&apos;s airline fastener and gasket unit, called Consumables Solutions. The division is a leader in replacement parts for aircraft maintenance and has a service to expedite parts, its own and others, to airline service centers worldwide. The deal is for $1.05 billion.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Over the years, B/E Aerospace has bought a series of around 20 companies in the last few decades, carefully expanding its hold on the cabin interior market. It is already a player in the fasteners market, For example in 2006 it acquired Draeger Aerospace PLC, a maker of oxygen systems for airplanes, and New York Fasteners, yet another fastener company At least one reports says that B/E will have over 85% share of the airplane fastener market.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The move comes s a number of airlines have announced he grounding of significant numbers of planes, while some smaller airlines have gone out of business.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Honeywell says that the sell-off is part of its plan to move to more high-tech airplane parts, including enegines and landing gear, Once again, the desire for a larger company to refocus on high margins is the opportunity for a small firm to dominate a market niche.&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/09.html#a1244</guid>
			<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2008 03:18:39 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
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			<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2008 03:17:39 GMT</pubDate>
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&lt;P&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;&lt;FONT color=darkblue size=4&gt;Then there were four&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The number of significant players in&lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/01/22.html&quot;&gt; wireless telephony in the US&lt;/A&gt; will be &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/22.html&quot;&gt;reduced &lt;/A&gt;from five to four, if Verizon Wireless&apos;s acquisition of competitor &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2005/01/11.html&quot;&gt;Alltel &lt;/A&gt;goes through. The move would unite the #2 and #5 players in this lucrative and highly concentrated market. The enhanced Verizon Wireless would be the new #1 company in the business, leapfrogging &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2004/02/17.html&quot;&gt;AT&amp;amp;T&lt;/A&gt;.&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; The deal is for $28.1 billion in cash and debt.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Verizon Wireless is co-owned jointly by Verizon Communications and UK-based &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2006/03/17.html&quot;&gt;Vodafone Group&lt;/A&gt;. Alltel, which services mostly rural wireless customers, is owned by private equity groups from TPG and Goldman Sachs, which bought the firm with an LBO only seventh months ago. Their profit in the sale is $1.3 billion.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Vodafone shareholders have been trying to have the British company sell off its Verizon Wireless holdings, due to lack of dividends. The $29.1 billion deal will make any near-term dividends even more unlikely. So there is amorous pressure on the British wireless company to exit the joint venture. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;Verizon Wireless announced that the move would enhanced customer service. Other than making for better connectivity in some rural area, such claims should be treated with great skepticism.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;The further concentration of the industry will doubtless mean higher prices and even less pressure to innovate. Verizon Wireless, AT&amp;amp;T,&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;FONT face=Geneva,Arial,Sans-Serif&gt; Sprint-Nextel, and T-Mobile now have one less competitor, and Sprint-Nextel is fading fast, so the prospect of only three wireless companies is not out of the question. If nothing else, Verizon&apos;s Alltel buys means it has little &lt;A href=&quot;http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/01/14.html&quot;&gt;money available for innovation&lt;/A&gt;, including better Internet connectivity.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;An article on Internetnews.com (&apos;Alltel, Verizon Merger Not a Win-Win for All,&quot; 6/5/08( quotes telco analyst Carmi Levy as stating the simple truth: &quot;The big need to get bigger, and the only way to protect yourself in a turbulent market is to grow&amp;#133;And it&apos;s easier to grow by buying than through organic customer acquisition,&quot; He also noted &quot;When there are fewer players there is less competition, and less competition means less incentives and benefits for consumers&quot;&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;It is thought that Verizon Wireless wants to get this deal through the federal authorities as quickly as possible, before a possible change in the administration. &lt;BR&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/P&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;</description>
			<guid>http://www.oligopolywatch.com/2008/06/08.html#a1242</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jun 2008 21:12:13 GMT</pubDate>
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